Spain, Italy, Germany And Iceland On Course To Contain Their Outbreaks Of COVID-19 - With A Change Of Direction UK Can Too
Many countries are showing that the strategy of China, Singapore and South Korea also works in Europe - to aggressively find cases, isolate them, trace contacts and isolate them. They now need to keep this up.
Italy is now down to a 4% increase per day - that’s a doubling time of 17 days. It’s down from a doubling time of just 5 days a fortnight ago. Italy looks to be well past its exponential rise, and even over the stage of a linear increase too. The cases per day are decreasing significantly.
Doubling time of 17 days = [log(2)/log(1+4/100)]
Doubling time of 5 days = [log(2)/log(1+13/100)]
Safer Affordable Fuel Efficient (SAFE) Vehicles Rule Sticks To 31 MPG 2025 Standard, Focuses On CO2 Instead
It was aggressive, and going to be costly, but auto manufacturers saw the way the wind was blowing and agreed, knowing a new administration might be in power in 2017.
He read a paper saying people touch their face too much and that could lead to getting SARS-CoV-2 into the body where it might cause COVID-19, and since magnets repel and he was bored he tried his hand at invention.
In March of 2020, the mayor of New York City told residents to go to bars right away if they wanted a drink because he was going to close them soon. Mayor de Blasio clearly did not take the threat seriously, since he told everyone to pack themselves into rooms with strangers.
In COVID-19 Patients With Hypertension, ACE Inhibitors And Angiotensin Receptor Blockers May Improve Prognosis
Now the debate is clinical use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEIs) and angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) in patients during the COVID-19 outbreak.
It will require a lot of multi-purposing, and re-purposing.
In late December 2019 an outbreak of
pneumonia cases arose in Wuhan, China. Patients presented with an acute
respiratory illness linked to the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19). COVID-19
is a betacoronavirus, similar to Human Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS)
and Middle Eastern Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) coronaviruses. SARS and MERS
both cause severe respiratory disease. Although COVID-19 is primarily
considered a respiratory virus, there is a strong link to cardiovascular
COVID-19 — by the numbers
To Fight COVID-19 Now, The UK Needs To Ramp Up To Testing, Contact Tracing And Isolation On A Massive Scale - And We Can STOP It
Glad to see that the former health secretary Jeremy Hunt is asking our government to follow the WHO recommendations on COVID19. Not just mass testing, also quarantine and contact tracing, all on an unprecedented scale. His op ed is here:
This is just a virus, a disease. We can stop it. Good things are happenintg, people working together in a massive way.
We can do this. The cobas 8800 by Roche Diagnostics can test 2,500 samples a day.
400 of those machines would test a million samples a day.
Born in Jedburgh, Scotland, in 1780, Somerville received little formal education compared to her brothers. Largely self-taught, she pursued academic study from an early age, and went on to become accomplished in sciences including astronomy, mathematics, geography and chemistry. Somerville became famous after publishing The Mechanism of the Heavens, a translation and expansion of Pierre Laplace’s work that became a standard textbook for undergraduates at Cambridge.
Their ID NOW molecular point-of-care testing platform was introduced in 2014 and is already used for flu, Strep A and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) so the company knew they could optimize it for COVID-19 but in the past that would have been an onerous expensive job to get through the bureaucracy.
COVID19 Does NOT Transmit Like Flu - Fact Checking UK Covid19 Policy Against Evidence From Science And WHO Recommendations
The UK’s policy is based on a model of an influenza pandemic such as is used in pandemic simulations. Their disease is an upper respiriatory tract infection, and is airborne which means you can get it just by breathing the air of someone who is near you. Also a third of the population never develop symptoms.
However COVID19 is a very unusual respiratory disease. It infects the respiratory tract like flu but behaves in a very different way. The main difference is that SARS-CoV2 has an affinity for the cells in the lower respiratory tract and causes little by way of symptoms in the upper respiratory tract such as a runny nose or phlegm. This may also be the reason why it transmits differently.
It does NOT match the real world disease.
Good News From Italy: COVID 19 Outbreak Halted In Italian Town Of Vo Euganeo At Record Speed - 90 To 0 New Cases In Two Weeks
Good news - one small Italian town, Vo Euganeo, has completely stopped its outbreak by rigorously testing everyone in the community including those who were asymptomatic. To do that they disregarded a directive from their government to only test those who had symptoms.
Even China didn’t do that, or Singapore. They only tested those with fever or respiratory disease symptoms.
Vo Euganeo is in Veneto which has had consistently lower case numbers than the other provinces and has had the most rigorous approach to case finding.
The Plot Thickens: Yet Another Lattice QCD Calculation Restores The Anomaly Of The Muon Magnetic Moment
In UK: Boris Johnson, Prince Charles, & Matt Hancock (Health Secretary) All Have COVID-19 & Chris Whitty Has Symptoms
Sad to hear that Boris Johnson - and Prince Charles both tested positive for COVID-19. Matt Hancock our Health secretary also has it and Chris Whitty (our chief medical officer) is self isolating with symptoms so he might have it too. I hope they both get better of it - we won't know for over a week if it is the mild or severe version, even at their age the vast majority get the mild version. This post also has some good news from Italy.
But it had a benefit for us. The die-off of microorganisms that shaped the Earth's atmosphere paved the way for larger animals to thrive.
Given the current coronavirus pandemic, the third of the last 17 years, not to mention annual flu and the other infectious diseases we face, it may seem that microbes are unstoppable, but even when biology on Earth was comprised entirely of microbes, they still had enormous die-off events.
How to detect life before complex life even existed
Dear Boris Johnson - UK's Policy On Covid-19 Needs Evidence Based Science Debate - We Must Not Delay - Every Minute Saves Lives
I have sent variations of this email to my local MP, the shadow health secretary, leaders of the main parties etc.
Please challenge the government and ask for an evidence based science debate on the basis for their COVID-19 policies.
You can check what I say here with the experts at the WHO.
I have just sent this email to the Prime Minister:
Dear Prime Minister,
No one knew. Little shock there, most people also won't know the origin of "portmanteau" but it would be easy to assume that Triscuit is a play on Biscuit, so maybe it had three - tri - of something instead of two - bi - that regular crackers at the time had. Google had no clue but Google is just a search engine parsing content written by people who also don't know (except on Wikipedia, that is confidently written by people who definitely don't know - or who are working for anti-science groups, if you see what they have done to the Science 2.0 entry).
You may have seen a 'coffee ring' when overflow deposits solids along the edge of the puddle as it evaporates. The same things happen with other beverages. Stuart Williams and colleagues previously found that drops of diluted American whiskeys -- but not their Scotch or Canadian counterparts -- formed webbed patterns when dried on a glass surface, and there were hints that the pattern was distinctive for different brands of whiskey.