In an article published in the journal Nature, Professor Burgman and Professor William Sutherland from the University of Cambridge argue expert opinions are often considered infallible.
But expert advice or estimates are often compromised by "cognitive frailties", which include the expert's mood, values, whether they stand to gain or lose from a decision and the context in which their opinions are sought.
"Experts are typically unaware of these subjective influences," the article says.